Light rainfall has been expected in eastern Nepal, mainly in the Madhesh Province and Province-1 on Monday and Tuesday.

The Meteorological Forecasting Division, under the Department of Hydrology and Meteorology, has anticipated that a cyclonic circulation formed over the Andaman Sea could trigger light rainfall in districts of the Madhesh Province and Province 1.

“Effects of cyclone in the Bay of Bengal will increase cloud mass and also cause light rainfall on Monday and Tuesday,” said Sanjeev Adhikari, a meteorologist at the division. “As chances of a major change in the weather pattern are very slim, there is no possibility of heavy rainfall on the day of Bhaitika.”

The department, however, can forecast weather patterns only for three days. Officials said that locally formed clouds could cause light rainfall in western Nepal during the festival.

Several people died in landslides and flooding triggered by heavy rainfall during the Dashain festival earlier this month. Thousands of people across the country could not celebrate the festival with their families and relatives after rainfall continued for several days. Hundreds of travelers were stuck on the way for several hours due to road blockages in multiple places.

This year’s monsoon exited the country on October 16. The monsoon that entered the country from eastern Nepal on June 5, eight days earlier than normal, extended for around three weeks, according to the Division.

The monsoon season in Nepal generally begins on June 13 and ends on September 23.

The season, which delivers around 80 percent of the country’s total annual rainfall, generally lasts 105 days. But, in recent years, it has been taking longer to withdraw.

This year, some areas witnessed heavy rainfall, while many areas saw moderate rains, and some areas saw below-the-normal rainfall. As the weather varies greatly in Nepal, some areas suffer from low rainfall while many areas see inundation and landslides due to excessive rains.

Of late, Nepal has found itself at the receiving end of the climate crisis. Drought and dry spells in the cultivation season and floods and inundation in the harvesting season have become a new normal in the country over the past few years.

“Droughts, floods and inundation not only affect any particular sector like food security,” said Raju Pandit Chhetri, director of Prakriti Resources Centre, which advocates environment-friendly policies and development practices. “Implications of climate change will be in multiple sectors—health, food security, education and women’s empowerment, among others.”

At least 119 people died, 38 are missing, and 107 people were injured in rain-related incidents this monsoon. According to the National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Authority, 5,465 people have been relocated, 273 houses were destroyed and 78 were partially damaged by floods and landslides.